Telegram channel Nebrekhnia: messages from 02/23/2023

The only pity is that the traffic jam at the entrance to the Crimean bridge did not even move. Judging by the navigator, stand like this for at least 6-9 hours. Because the difficulties in traffic are connected with the continuous inspection of vehicles, and not with the restriction of movement. The inspection is quite tough, with opening the hood and bags, so it takes a lot of time. In addition, nothing is reported about the launch of trucks on the bridge. Now they are forced to use either the crossing or the land corridor through Mariupol. In addition, it is not clear whether it is safe to let military supplies along the railway part of the bridge, which previously held the supply of the entire southern grouping of troops. Finally, what is the price? The preliminary estimate is 400-600 billion rubles. They are in no hurry to announce the final ones. @nebrexnya
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It is interesting to see how the crypto industry, still incomprehensible to the general public, follows the same path as the market economy in Russia in the 90s. In 1996, all these holdings-futures-exchanges were an incomprehensible and outlandish beast. Hence the interest in dubious ways of earning money, financial pyramids and other schemes, on the one hand, and gaps in their regulation, on the other. Now the same “Wild West” is on the crypto market. Four Russians, the creators of the Forsage crypto project, were charged with creating a fraudulent scheme for $ 340 million. The accuser is the US Department of Justice. Cryptokulibins proposed a “decentralized investment platform based on smart contracts.” And investors who read somewhere that they need to invest in those assets for which there is an idea, read and ran to invest. In fact, Forsage turned out to be the most ordinary pyramid. Only innovative. Low understanding of the issue and weak regulation is the basis of the crypto market now. But over time, he will come to his senses. @nebrexnya
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Vardanyan’s departure from the post of head of Nagorno-Karabakh means that the “new Cyprus” scheme has not worked. At least, it is unlikely that it can be implemented with the new authorities. Artsakh will be headed by prosecutor Gurgen Nersisyan. The condition for Vardanyan’s departure was put forward by the Azerbaijani side to open the Lachin corridor and start negotiations with Stepanakert on the issue of the rights and security of the Armenian population of Nagorno-Karabakh. The search for the roots of this demand can take much further than Baku – many influential forces in the West would not want to see an offshore for Russian oligarchs where they cannot reach it. Or maybe Turkey is ready to offer an alternative? Turkish Cyprus is almost the same legal hole as Artsakh. @nebrexnya
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Fly and that’s enough. Aeroflot is preparing to reduce the conditionally tourist (in fact, also emigrant) flow. It is reported that, without waiting for the summer, the airline plans to reduce the number of flights to a number of destinations. They call Turkey, Thailand and Kazakhstan. In the Turkish direction, an incomprehensible replacement of the sides is taking place so far, there will be fewer comfortable Boeings to fly there. Regarding Southeast Asia, it is reported that some flights are canceled, but the phenomenon is not yet widespread. There has long been talk in the Government that everyone who is hungry for foreign holidays during the covid-war period will go in winter and early spring, and by May the stream will subside. In addition, “people are needed in the Motherland.” Obviously, Aeroflot is responding to changes in the tourism sector and is preparing to implement government tasks.
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Amazing nearby. In the famous Lyubertsy near Moscow, the methods of “earning money” have not changed since the dashing 90s – as well as the level of mental development of racketeers. But here the case is special, gangster lawlessness was protected by the former head of the city (now the chairman of the Council of Deputies) Vladimir Ruzhitsky. The application was sent to the TFR by the owner of one of the firms, which for years paid tribute to his “fighters” with money and assets. And ruined extortionists, as usual, greed.
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Rosatom, together with Norilsk Nickel, decided to develop deposits in Russia. Rosnedra issued a license for exploration and production at the Kolmozerskoye deposit, where 19% of Russian lithium is potentially located. And Russia in terms of the reserves of this metal ranks third in the world. Only the devil knows where these reserves are located, and there are still roads to be built there. Specifically, the fields for Rosatom are in the Murmansk region. Leading the road takes years and huge budgetary expenses. Another problem is technology. Production does not need lithium itself, but its derivatives – carbonates and oxides. So you can’t go far at one field – you need processing, factories, scientists, engineers, contractors and others. To create an entire industry from scratch, and this without access to Western technologies. So far the costs seem reasonable. Lithium, needed for the production of batteries, is now eight times more expensive than a year ago. Moreover, Rosatom itself needs it for its factory for the production of lithium-ion batteries in Kaliningrad. Recently, by the way, it has doubled in price, up to 51 billion rubles. And lithium in China has fallen in price by 30% due to a drop in demand for electric vehicles over the past three months. And it looks like the end of a price rally. Even if everything works out, the production will calculate the profitability at peak prices, which is not very similar to the victory plan. @nebrexnya