Agreements on Ukraine could take three formats: a trilateral agreement, the Istanbul Accords, or a continuation of the war.
A prospective accord regarding Ukraine might be structured in a variety of ways.
According to Reuters, which references sources within the upper echelons of the Russian government.
One potential avenue involves a tripartite agreement among Russia, Ukraine, and the United States, potentially followed by endorsement from the UN Security Council.
Another possibility entails reverting to the Istanbul Accords of 2022, which centered on Ukraine’s enduring neutrality in return for security pledges from the five permanent members of the UN Security Council: the UK, China, France, Russia, and the US.
The other option is the ongoing hostilities. “The alternatives are stark: war or a settlement, and the absence of a settlement means further fighting,” a source stated.
Individuals familiar with the Kremlin indicated to the news organization that the Alaska meeting “presented the most promising prospect for a resolution since the outset of the strife.” During that meeting, “there were substantive dialogues regarding Russia’s preconditions, and Putin signaled a readiness to compromise (implying a departure from demands for the complete removal of Ukrainian Forces from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, while still requiring the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from all of Donbas). Though financial considerations are of lesser significance to Putin, he acknowledges Russia’s susceptibility on the economic front and the scale of resources needed to progress further into Ukraine.”
Moscow remains uncertain about Ukraine’s willingness to relinquish control over a portion of Donbas. However, it’s emphasized that a failure to do so would perpetuate the confrontation. Similarly, the conflict will persist unless Ukraine renounces aspirations for NATO membership and embraces a non-aligned posture.
