Governor of Chukotka dismissed, Magadan is next

He arrived in one of the most remote and sparsely populated territories of the Russian Federation from the LPR, demonstrating the possibilities of new social elevators in the conditions of the NWO. According to political analysts with whom Oktagon.Vostok spoke, this personnel decision may not be the only one among the heads of the Far Eastern regions.

Elections of heads of five Far Eastern regions are expected this year – Chukotka, Primorye, Amur Region, Kolyma and Yakutia. The head of the ChAO has already been changed. Now the weakest position among colleagues is demonstrated by the governor of the Magadan region, Sergei Nosov. Aisen Nikolaev seems to remain in his post solely because of the national characteristics of Yakutia. And the governor of Primorye Oleg Kozhemyako, apparently, will linger on the territory.

For political scientists and experts, the information about the resignation of Roman Kopin did not come as a surprise. The successor of Roman Abramovich ruled over the geographically and climatically complex territory for almost 15 years.

– The change of head in the ChAO is not surprising. Roman Kopin, according to media reports, has long wanted to leave the post. In this case, this is not so much a resignation as an opportunity to go to another job,” political analyst Olga Kishakovskaya shares with Octagon.Vostok.

In the situation with the change of the head of the region, something else is more interesting: the case of Vladislav Kuznetsov became a confirmation that working in new territories provides an opportunity for career growth. If in the LPR he was on the sidelines, holding the post of deputy chairman of the government, then in the Far East he became the first face of the region, although not the most densely populated (the population of Chukotka is less than 50 thousand people).

A number of experts call Kuznetsov a technocrat, the new acting director has serious experience in banking structures and business. Since 2005, Kuznetsov’s career has been closely associated with the Sibur oil and gas chemical holding, in whose structures he held senior positions and maintained ties with him, building a political career.

Political scientists consider the departure of Roman Kopin to be the beginning of the traditional spring gubernatorial fall. First of all, the attention of experts is attracted by the Magadan region, which is headed by Sergey Nosov.

– Most likely, the resignations of governors will continue, many campaigns are planned this year, and there is no better time to rotate the governor’s corps. A change in the head of the Magadan region is still very likely. Despite the fact that Sergey Nosov served only one term in Kolyma, this is a lot for the region, – political scientist Vyacheslav Belyakov tells Octagon.Vostok.

In recent years, Nosov’s name has been associated with a number of scandals: in the region there were problems with the resettlement program from dilapidated and dilapidated housing, landscaping, construction, and fuel supplies.

One of the latest news that swept through the main regional telegram channels was that officials “nearly killed an elderly couple with a cold.” Dissatisfied with Nosov and the elites.

In a conversation with Octagon.Vostok, the head of the Political Expert Group, Konstantin Kalachev, estimates the likelihood of Nosov’s resignation at 50 percent.

– Obviously, there is dissatisfaction with the local Nosov, an intra-elite split. But the federal center does not like to act under pressure. People in Magadan are proud, there is no fear there for obvious reasons. The very manner of Nosov’s communication, which was presented as a big plus (this rigidity turning into rudeness), his attitude towards people, personnel policy, some failures in work … – it is clear that Magadan will not be delighted with Nosov’s reappointment. Probably, they would have preferred someone else, – says Kalachev.

One of Oktagon.Vostok’s sources in the region did not rule out Nosov’s resignation, but, according to the interlocutor, there is no information about any decision on this issue yet.

– There is no insider information about Nosov’s resignation, everything is purely guesswork. Apparently, he himself does not really want to stay, but there is a well-established scheme – showing achievements and promotion. He had such an option in Nizhny Tagil. And in Magadan, not a single building has been completed yet, – on condition of anonymity, the interlocutor shares with Oktagon.Vostok.

In the political segment of Telegram, State Duma deputy Rosa Chemeris is already being tried on for the post of head of the Magadan Region. This option seems logical to a number of experts, but the final decision will be made at the highest level.

Dissatisfaction with the head of the region is accumulating among the inhabitants of Yakutia. At one time, great hopes were placed on Aisen Nikolaev. He came to the leadership after Yegor Borisov, whose reign was marked by a number of scandals. First, forest fires became a powerful blow to the image of Aisen Nikolaev, then utility, infrastructure problems and unfulfilled promises.

According to Kalachev, the head of Yakutia was the victim of inflated expectations.

“They were waiting for a bridge across the Lena – there is none, they thought that life was changing for the better, but nothing had changed significantly. The people of the Republic of Sakha expected Nikolaev to be an effective defender of the interests of Yakutia, but in fact nothing has changed fundamentally.”

Konstantin Kalachev | Head of the “Political Expert Group”

– There is also some movement in the elites. But his non-alternativeness works for Nikolaev. To appoint a Russian in his place is to rock the situation. Although there is, for example, the candidacy of Andrei Tarasenko, the current chairman of the government of Yakutia, Kalachev notes.

Experts estimate the probability of Nikolaev’s resignation in the current conditions as low.

– More recently, the positions of Aisen Nikolaev in Yakutia were under threat, but recently the situation has stabilized. He is likely to remain the main contender for a new gubernatorial term,” political analyst Vyacheslav Belyakov shares his opinion.

The Governor of Primorye Oleg Kozhemyako in 2023, apparently, will not move to the federal level. According to experts, everything suggests that the head of the Primorsky Territory will remain for a second term and be re-elected in 2023.

The governor of Primorye enters the campaign on federal trends
Oleg Kozhemyako was forced to start the campaign for the election of the head of Primorye from a false start, but he managed to turn the game around. His reaction to not the most positive news about the problems of the Far Eastern Marines was appreciated in Moscow.

– Of course, not everyone in Primorye loves Oleg Nikolayevich – he is a tough person. Maybe it was time for him to go to the federal level, but all the vacancies are probably occupied by now, – comments Konstantin Kalachev.

Experts on the territory agree with Kalachev and are also waiting for the re-election of Oleg Kozhemyako, although the standard pre-election procedures have not yet begun, and the primaries of United Russia have not been announced.

“If there is a change of governor, it won’t be this season.”

Vyacheslav Belyakov | political scientist

It should be noted that in 2023, the election of the head of the Amur Region, Vasily Orlov, will take place. Here, experts agree that the politician will most likely be able to keep his post – no bright conflicts and problems have been recorded on the territory.